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Scenario Thinking and the Information Age

I stumbled across a link from a post from Art - He wrote about Ivan Klinec which gave a presentation last september at the Slovak Academy of Sciences.

The presentation mostly covers ground that will be old news to those familiar with scenarios, mostly taking a traditionalist (2X2, driving forces, big stories) approach. But it makes a few good points (summarized below). Its main theory seems to be that scenario thinking is developing in parallel with the "information age" (broadly defined), while linear strategic planning methods are becoming less useful as the "industrial age" winds down. He notes that scenarios are:

  • A response to the growing uncertainty of the information age
  • About freedom and choices (future and present)
  • Stories
  • Maps of the future
  • Mental maps
  • Mental models
  • Narratives
  • Pictures
  • Models
  • Sets of indicators
  • Tools
  • Art

Few weeks ago I did another post on the topic.

UPDATE - APRIL 14 2005 - WHAT I FORGOT TO MENTION IN MY ORIGINAL POSTING - ART HUTCHINSON ALSO WROTE ABOUT THE TOPIC - IN FACT THE ABOVE LISTING IS FROm HIS HAND - I APOLOGIES NOT TO MENTION THAT IN THE FIRST PLACE. MY BIG FAULT AND APOLOGIES....

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Comments

Dude -

When you lift someone's blog post verbiage VERBATIM, it's customary to cite the source. In some circles we call this plagiarism. Shoot, you even lifted my title word for word. I was on this back in February. See: http://cartegic.typepad.com/mapping_strategy/2005/02/scenario_thinki.html

Posted by: Art Hutchinson | Apr 13, 2005 2:30:15 PM

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CPH127 is a sense-making initiative. We aim to create a open dialogue around the profound understanding of the leadership, organization and strategy of creative business functions with the aim to create new value (for customers, employers and stakeholders.

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